#IOWA COIN FLIP 2020 PROFESSIONAL#

Harvard mathematician Michael Mitzenmacher supports Diaconis’ analysis, purporting that if a coin is “loaded” - i.e., one side of the coin is slightly heavier than the other - an outcome of 51/49 is more likely (especially when flipped in the air and caught by hand). He found, then, that the outcome of a coin flip was much closer to 51/49 - with a bias toward whichever side was face-up at the time of the flip. Some of the external factors Diaconis believed could affect a coin flip : the temperature, the velocity the coin reaches at the highest point of the flip and the speed of the flip.

#IOWA COIN FLIP 2020 PROFESSIONAL#

In 2012, Persi Diaconis, a math professor at Stanford University (and, it should be noted, a professional magician), argued exactly even odds only occur in situations of cetirus paribus, or when every other testing condition is equal and optimal. The thing is, statistically speaking, coin tosses aren’t exactly a 50/50 spread. Oops what do you know, #MayorCheat defies all odds and wins >85% of all coin tosses! /6UA5OTUEyxīut can you rig a coin toss? After all, it’s long been considered the fairest way possible to decide a split decision: Theoretically, there’s an even (or “50/50”) chance either person could win. This is what qualifies as a “blind coin toss” for the DNC. #IowaCaucusDisaster #DNCRigged /ZCMMGiGpnu I'm not saying it's #DNCRigged or that the #DNCisCorrupt but have you seen this 'coin toss'? Įnjoy this video of a completely fair and neutral coin toss. Similar claims were made this week as well: In 2016, for example, 13 Iowa caucuses were decided between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders via coin toss - something that led to conspiracy theories that the coin flips themselves were rigged in favor of Clinton. Here’s your Iowa democracy in action – a coin toss to determine who gets the last delegate out of this #IowaCaucus precinct after Buttigieg and Klobuchar tied. But as a Brit watching the whole thing play out on YouTube streams and Twitter, there was one question I kept asking myself: Why are so many caucuses decided by coin toss ? There was plenty of drama surrounding the weird app that botched the Iowa Caucus this week.

Iowa coin flip 2020